Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes

This study systematically investigates the representation of warm conveyor belts (WCBs) in large reforecast data sets of different numerical weather prediction models and evaluates the role of WCBs for the onset and life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes. The results emphasize the importanc...

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Glavni autor: Wandel, Jan Lucas
Format: Online
Jezik:engleski
Izdano: KIT Scientific Publishing 2023
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Online pristup:https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/63206
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author Wandel, Jan Lucas
author_browse Wandel, Jan Lucas
author_facet Wandel, Jan Lucas
author_sort Wandel, Jan Lucas
collection Directory of Open Access Books
description This study systematically investigates the representation of warm conveyor belts (WCBs) in large reforecast data sets of different numerical weather prediction models and evaluates the role of WCBs for the onset and life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes. The results emphasize the importance of accurate forecast of WCBs for sub-seasonal prediction on time scales beyond two weeks and tie the low forecast skill of blocked weather regimes over Europe to misrepresented WCBs.
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institution Directory of Open Access Books
language eng
publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
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spelling doab-20.500.12854ir-1004702025-05-27T07:21:06Z Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes Wandel, Jan Lucas numerische Wettervorhersage; synoptisch-skalige Prozesse; Warm conveyor belts; blockierende Hochdruckwetterlagen; sub-saisonale Zeitskalen; numerical weather prediction; synoptic-scale processes; warm conveyor belts; atmospheric blocking; sub-seasonal time scales thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics This study systematically investigates the representation of warm conveyor belts (WCBs) in large reforecast data sets of different numerical weather prediction models and evaluates the role of WCBs for the onset and life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes. The results emphasize the importance of accurate forecast of WCBs for sub-seasonal prediction on time scales beyond two weeks and tie the low forecast skill of blocked weather regimes over Europe to misrepresented WCBs. 2023-06-06T08:02:13Z 2023-06-06T08:02:13Z 2023-06-05T12:25:57Z 2023 book https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/63206 9783731512493 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/100470 eng Wissenschaftliche Berichte des Instituts für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung des Karlsruher Instituts für Technologie open access image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/63206/1/representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/63206/1/representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/63206/1/representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/63206/1/representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/63206/1/representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf KIT Scientific Publishing 10.5445/KSP/1000151831 10.5445/KSP/1000151831 68fffc18-8f7b-44fa-ac7e-0b7d7d979bd2 9783731512493 AG Universitätsverlage 256 open access
spellingShingle numerische Wettervorhersage; synoptisch-skalige Prozesse; Warm conveyor belts; blockierende Hochdruckwetterlagen; sub-saisonale Zeitskalen; numerical weather prediction; synoptic-scale processes; warm conveyor belts; atmospheric blocking; sub-seasonal time scales
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics
Wandel, Jan Lucas
Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes
title Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes
title_full Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes
title_fullStr Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes
title_full_unstemmed Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes
title_short Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes
title_sort representation of warm conveyor belts in sub seasonal forecast models and the link to atlantic european weather regimes
topic numerische Wettervorhersage; synoptisch-skalige Prozesse; Warm conveyor belts; blockierende Hochdruckwetterlagen; sub-saisonale Zeitskalen; numerical weather prediction; synoptic-scale processes; warm conveyor belts; atmospheric blocking; sub-seasonal time scales
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics
topic_facet numerische Wettervorhersage; synoptisch-skalige Prozesse; Warm conveyor belts; blockierende Hochdruckwetterlagen; sub-saisonale Zeitskalen; numerical weather prediction; synoptic-scale processes; warm conveyor belts; atmospheric blocking; sub-seasonal time scales
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics
url https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/63206
work_keys_str_mv AT wandeljanlucas representationofwarmconveyorbeltsinsubseasonalforecastmodelsandthelinktoatlanticeuropeanweatherregimes