Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time?

Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent...

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Autor principal: Kavanagh, Jennifer
Formato: Online
Idioma:inglês
Publicado em: RAND Corporation 2023
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Acesso em linha:ONIX_20231005_9780833079046_827
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author Kavanagh, Jennifer
author_browse Kavanagh, Jennifer
author_facet Kavanagh, Jennifer
author_sort Kavanagh, Jennifer
collection Directory of Open Access Books
description Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates.
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institution Directory of Open Access Books
language eng
publishDate 2023
publishDateRange 2023
publishDateSort 2023
publisher RAND Corporation
publisherStr RAND Corporation
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spelling doab-20.500.12854ir-1150532024-04-14T10:27:46Z Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time? Kavanagh, Jennifer History Statistics Technology thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UN Databases::UNA Database design and theory thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics Current DoD force planning processes assume that U.S. military interventions are serially independent over time. This report challenges this assumption, arguing that interventions occur in temporally dependent clusters in which the likelihood of an intervention depends on interventions in the recent past. Integrating the concept of temporal dependence into DoD planning processes could help planners develop more appropriate force estimates. 2023-10-05T10:23:56Z 2023-10-05T10:23:56Z 2013 book ONIX_20231005_9780833079046_827 9780833079046 9780833079015 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/115053 eng image/jpeg n/a https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.7249/j.ctt3fh19w RAND Corporation 10.7249/j.ctt3fh19w 10.7249/j.ctt3fh19w 47ac0b54-b121-491c-a9c8-5ca6776e27cb 9780833079046 9780833079015 open access
spellingShingle History
Statistics
Technology
thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UN Databases::UNA Database design and theory
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics
Kavanagh, Jennifer
Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time?
title Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time?
title_full Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time?
title_fullStr Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time?
title_full_unstemmed Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time?
title_short Are U.S. Military Interventions Contagious over Time?
title_sort are u s military interventions contagious over time
topic History
Statistics
Technology
thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UN Databases::UNA Database design and theory
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics
topic_facet History
Statistics
Technology
thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UN Databases::UNA Database design and theory
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics
url ONIX_20231005_9780833079046_827
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