Hvordan skape vekst?

Some places experience population growth and increasing job opportunities, while others undergo a decline in population and the number of workplaces. What are the driving forces behind the developments we have seen in municipalities and regions in Norway since 2000? A large part of the regional g...

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Päätekijä: Vareide, Knut
Aineistotyyppi: Online
Kieli:Norwegian Bokmål
Julkaistu: Cappelen Damm Akademisk/NOASP (Nordic Open Access Scholarly Publishing) 2024
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Linkit:OCN: 1437956674
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author Vareide, Knut
author_browse Vareide, Knut
author_facet Vareide, Knut
author_sort Vareide, Knut
collection Directory of Open Access Books
description Some places experience population growth and increasing job opportunities, while others undergo a decline in population and the number of workplaces. What are the driving forces behind the developments we have seen in municipalities and regions in Norway since 2000? A large part of the regional growth patterns in Norway can be explained by structural conditions. Differences in each area’s centrality, business structure and demographics can explain much of the disparity in growth that we have seen in the last twenty years. In this book, we present the regional growth model we have developed, the attractiveness model, which can explain how areas have evolved and predict future population development. The population projections from this model differ greatly from those of Statistics Norway (SSB) for many municipalities, especially in rural areas. If we are correct, population development in these areas will be significantly weaker than Statistics Norway’s projections, which serve as a basis for regional policy. Some municipalities have achieved higher growth than predicted by the model, either as a result of greater increases in new residents or stronger job growth in the local business sector. Such municipalities have been attractive for business and residence, and achieved stronger growth than the structural conditions would otherwise suggest. The vast majority of municipalities want to stimulate their own population development in order to offset aging and decline in the number of children in their kindergartens and schools. In the book, we highlight many examples of such municipalities that have managed to grow more than usual.
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spelling doab-20.500.12854ir-1385032025-07-18T09:46:01Z Hvordan skape vekst? Vareide, Knut population growth, Norway, municipalities, job market, the attractiveness model, regional growth, befolkningsvekst, Norge, kommuner, arbeidsplasser, attraktivitetsmodellen, regional vekst thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population and demography thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPG Rural planning and policy thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPC Urban and municipal planning and policy thema EDItEUR::1 Place qualifiers::1D Europe::1DN Northern Europe, Scandinavia::1DNN Norway thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population and demography thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPG Rural planning and policy thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPC Urban and municipal planning and policy thema EDItEUR::1 Place qualifiers::1D Europe::1DN Northern Europe, Scandinavia::1DNN Norway Some places experience population growth and increasing job opportunities, while others undergo a decline in population and the number of workplaces. What are the driving forces behind the developments we have seen in municipalities and regions in Norway since 2000? A large part of the regional growth patterns in Norway can be explained by structural conditions. Differences in each area’s centrality, business structure and demographics can explain much of the disparity in growth that we have seen in the last twenty years. In this book, we present the regional growth model we have developed, the attractiveness model, which can explain how areas have evolved and predict future population development. The population projections from this model differ greatly from those of Statistics Norway (SSB) for many municipalities, especially in rural areas. If we are correct, population development in these areas will be significantly weaker than Statistics Norway’s projections, which serve as a basis for regional policy. Some municipalities have achieved higher growth than predicted by the model, either as a result of greater increases in new residents or stronger job growth in the local business sector. Such municipalities have been attractive for business and residence, and achieved stronger growth than the structural conditions would otherwise suggest. The vast majority of municipalities want to stimulate their own population development in order to offset aging and decline in the number of children in their kindergartens and schools. In the book, we highlight many examples of such municipalities that have managed to grow more than usual. Noen steder har befolkningsvekst og arbeidsplassvekst, mens andre steder opplever fallende folketall og antall arbeidsplasser. Hva har vært drivkreftene for den utviklingen vi har sett i kommuner og regioner i Norge siden 2000? En stor del av de regionale vekstmønstrene i Norge kan forklares av strukturelle forhold. Forskjeller i stedenes sentralitet, næringsstruktur og demografi kan forklare mye av de store ulikhetene i vekst som vi har sett de siste tjue årene. I denne boka viser vi hvordan vi har utviklet en regional vekstmodell, attraktivitetsmodellen, som kan forklare steders utvikling og predikere framtidig befolkningsutvikling. Befolkningsframskrivingene fra denne modellen avviker sterkt fra Statistisk sentralbyrås (SSB) befolkningsframskrivinger for mange kommuner, spesielt i distriktene. Hvis vi har rett, vil befolkningsutviklingen i distriktene bli vesentlig svakere enn det som SSB framskriver og som er lagt til grunn i distriktspolitikken i Norge. Noen kommuner har oppnådd høyere vekst enn forventet av modellen, enten ved at de har hatt høyere innflytting eller sterkere arbeidsplassvekst i næringslivet. Slike kommuner har vært attraktive for bosetting eller næringsliv og har oppnådd sterkere vekst enn de strukturelle betingelsene tilsier. De aller fleste kommunene ønsker å stimulere sin egen befolkningsutvikling for å unngå sterk aldring og synkende barnetall i barnehager og skoler. I boka trekker vi fram mange eksempler på slike kommuner som har greid å vokse mer enn normalt. 2024-05-31T05:42:56Z 2024-05-31T05:42:56Z 2024-05-30T10:06:16Z 2024 book OCN: 1437956674 https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/90650 9788202831660 9788202835804 9788202835811 9788202835828 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/138503 Norwegian BokmÃ¥l open access image/jpeg image/jpeg Attribution 4.0 International Attribution 4.0 International https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/90650/1/Hvordan_skape_vekst.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/90650/1/Hvordan_skape_vekst.pdf Cappelen Damm Akademisk/NOASP (Nordic Open Access Scholarly Publishing) 10.23865/noasp.203 10.23865/noasp.203 9266f8a8-a49e-4697-9bd1-69645f9037c2 9788202831660 9788202835804 9788202835811 9788202835828 225 Oslo open access
spellingShingle population growth, Norway, municipalities, job market, the attractiveness model, regional growth, befolkningsvekst, Norge, kommuner, arbeidsplasser, attraktivitetsmodellen, regional vekst
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population and demography
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPG Rural planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPC Urban and municipal planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::1 Place qualifiers::1D Europe::1DN Northern Europe, Scandinavia::1DNN Norway
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population and demography
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPG Rural planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPC Urban and municipal planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::1 Place qualifiers::1D Europe::1DN Northern Europe, Scandinavia::1DNN Norway
Vareide, Knut
Hvordan skape vekst?
title Hvordan skape vekst?
title_full Hvordan skape vekst?
title_fullStr Hvordan skape vekst?
title_full_unstemmed Hvordan skape vekst?
title_short Hvordan skape vekst?
title_sort hvordan skape vekst
topic population growth, Norway, municipalities, job market, the attractiveness model, regional growth, befolkningsvekst, Norge, kommuner, arbeidsplasser, attraktivitetsmodellen, regional vekst
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population and demography
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPG Rural planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPC Urban and municipal planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::1 Place qualifiers::1D Europe::1DN Northern Europe, Scandinavia::1DNN Norway
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population and demography
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPG Rural planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPC Urban and municipal planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::1 Place qualifiers::1D Europe::1DN Northern Europe, Scandinavia::1DNN Norway
topic_facet population growth, Norway, municipalities, job market, the attractiveness model, regional growth, befolkningsvekst, Norge, kommuner, arbeidsplasser, attraktivitetsmodellen, regional vekst
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population and demography
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPG Rural planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPC Urban and municipal planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::1 Place qualifiers::1D Europe::1DN Northern Europe, Scandinavia::1DNN Norway
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population and demography
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPG Rural planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RP Regional and area planning::RPC Urban and municipal planning and policy
thema EDItEUR::1 Place qualifiers::1D Europe::1DN Northern Europe, Scandinavia::1DNN Norway
url OCN: 1437956674
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