Chapter 24: Helping people think about the future: insights from cognitive science
Cognitive science has identified several models of mind and cognitive processes that underpin thinking and decision-making. Understanding and working with these processes will improve the efficacy of scanning, foresight, and vision-building. These cognitive devices include mental models (internalize...
সংরক্ষণ করুন:
| প্রধান লেখক: | |
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| বিন্যাস: | Online |
| ভাষা: | ইংরেজি |
| প্রকাশিত: |
Edward Elgar Publishing
2024
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| বিষয়গুলি: | |
| অনলাইন ব্যবহার করুন: | https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/142589 |
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| _version_ | 1869520948539949056 |
|---|---|
| author | Padbury, Peter |
| author_browse | Padbury, Peter |
| author_facet | Padbury, Peter |
| author_sort | Padbury, Peter |
| collection | Directory of Open Access Books |
| description | Cognitive science has identified several models of mind and cognitive processes that underpin thinking and decision-making. Understanding and working with these processes will improve the efficacy of scanning, foresight, and vision-building. These cognitive devices include mental models (internalized system maps), mental simulations (for scenario development and testing), inference processes (that explore implications), and assumptions (that summarize and consolidate thinking). This chapter describes the cognitive science behind these processes and suggests how we might use them in foresight. Integrating an understanding of cognitive processes in foresight practice will change foresight methods. It also has implications for ownership, trust, participation, and the impact of foresight on decision-making and public policy. The observations and hypotheses grow out of my experience conducting hundreds of foresight projects involving several thousand people in a public policy context. While many of these insights are likely familiar to most futurists, they are rarely explicitly acknowledged or fully utilized. |
| format | Online |
| id | doab-20.500.12854ir-142589 |
| institution | Directory of Open Access Books |
| language | eng |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateRange | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| publisher | Edward Elgar Publishing |
| publisherStr | Edward Elgar Publishing |
| record_format | ojs |
| spelling | doab-20.500.12854ir-1425892024-07-25T09:19:34Z Chapter 24: Helping people think about the future: insights from cognitive science Padbury, Peter Foresight; Cognitive science; Mental models; System maps; Inference; Assumptions JBFZ Cognitive science has identified several models of mind and cognitive processes that underpin thinking and decision-making. Understanding and working with these processes will improve the efficacy of scanning, foresight, and vision-building. These cognitive devices include mental models (internalized system maps), mental simulations (for scenario development and testing), inference processes (that explore implications), and assumptions (that summarize and consolidate thinking). This chapter describes the cognitive science behind these processes and suggests how we might use them in foresight. Integrating an understanding of cognitive processes in foresight practice will change foresight methods. It also has implications for ownership, trust, participation, and the impact of foresight on decision-making and public policy. The observations and hypotheses grow out of my experience conducting hundreds of foresight projects involving several thousand people in a public policy context. While many of these insights are likely familiar to most futurists, they are rarely explicitly acknowledged or fully utilized. Published 2024-07-25T09:19:22Z 2024-07-25T09:19:22Z 2024-07-18 chapter 9781035301607 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/142589 eng image/jpeg Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International https://www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/handbook-of-futures-studies-9781035301591.html https://www.elgaronline.com/edcollchap-oa/book/9781035301607/book-part-9781035301607-32.xml Edward Elgar Publishing Edward Elgar Publishing 0.4337/9781035301607.00032 0.4337/9781035301607.00032 01ceac28-75b4-492a-8eec-f9b98bc6b28c https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ 9781035301607 Edward Elgar Publishing Cheltenham, UK open access |
| spellingShingle | Foresight; Cognitive science; Mental models; System maps; Inference; Assumptions JBFZ Padbury, Peter Chapter 24: Helping people think about the future: insights from cognitive science |
| title | Chapter 24: Helping people think about the future: insights from cognitive science |
| title_full | Chapter 24: Helping people think about the future: insights from cognitive science |
| title_fullStr | Chapter 24: Helping people think about the future: insights from cognitive science |
| title_full_unstemmed | Chapter 24: Helping people think about the future: insights from cognitive science |
| title_short | Chapter 24: Helping people think about the future: insights from cognitive science |
| title_sort | chapter 24 helping people think about the future insights from cognitive science |
| topic | Foresight; Cognitive science; Mental models; System maps; Inference; Assumptions JBFZ |
| topic_facet | Foresight; Cognitive science; Mental models; System maps; Inference; Assumptions JBFZ |
| url | https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/142589 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT padburypeter chapter24helpingpeoplethinkaboutthefutureinsightsfromcognitivescience |