Cultures of Prediction
A probing examination of the dynamic history of predictive methods and values in science and engineering that helps us better understand today's cultures of prediction.The ability to make reliable predictions based on robust and replicable methods is a defining feature of the scientific endeavor, al...
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| Format: | Online |
| Idioma: | anglès |
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The MIT Press
2024
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| Accés en línia: | ONIX_20241025_9780262379045_144 |
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| _version_ | 1869530280842231808 |
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| author | Johnson, Ann Lenhard, Johannes |
| author_browse | Johnson, Ann Lenhard, Johannes |
| author_facet | Johnson, Ann Lenhard, Johannes |
| author_sort | Johnson, Ann |
| collection | Directory of Open Access Books |
| description | A probing examination of the dynamic history of predictive methods and values in science and engineering that helps us better understand today's cultures of prediction.The ability to make reliable predictions based on robust and replicable methods is a defining feature of the scientific endeavor, allowing engineers to determine whether a building will stand up or where a cannonball will strike. Cultures of Prediction, which bridges history and philosophy, uncovers the dynamic history of prediction in science and engineering over four centuries. Ann Johnson and Johannes Lenhard identify four different cultures, or modes, of prediction in the history of science and engineering: rational, empirical, iterative-numerical, and exploratory-iterative. They show how all four develop together and interact with one another while emphasizing that mathematization is not a single unitary process but one that has taken many forms.The story is not one of the triumph of abstract mathematics or technology but of how different modes of prediction, complementary concepts of mathematization, and technology coevolved, building what the authors call “cultures of prediction.” The first part of the book examines prediction from early modernity up to the computer age. The second part probes computer-related cultures of prediction, which focus on making things and testing their performance, often in computer simulations. This new orientation challenges basic tenets of the philosophy of science, in which scientific theories and models are predominantly seen as explanatory rather than predictive. It also influences the types of research projects that scientists and engineers undertake, as well as which ones receive support from funding agencies. |
| format | Online |
| id | doab-20.500.12854ir-146766 |
| institution | Directory of Open Access Books |
| language | eng |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| publishDateRange | 2024 |
| publishDateSort | 2024 |
| publisher | The MIT Press |
| publisherStr | The MIT Press |
| record_format | ojs |
| spelling | doab-20.500.12854ir-1467662024-10-25T13:20:14Z Cultures of Prediction Johnson, Ann Lenhard, Johannes Prediction co-evolution mathematization history of engineering history of technology philosophy of engineering thema EDItEUR::T Technology, Engineering, Agriculture, Industrial processes::TB Technology: general issues::TBX History of engineering and technology thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PS Biology, life sciences::PSA Life sciences: general issues::PSAD Bioethics thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JB Society and culture: general::JBF Social and ethical issues::JBFZ Social forecasting, future studies A probing examination of the dynamic history of predictive methods and values in science and engineering that helps us better understand today's cultures of prediction.The ability to make reliable predictions based on robust and replicable methods is a defining feature of the scientific endeavor, allowing engineers to determine whether a building will stand up or where a cannonball will strike. Cultures of Prediction, which bridges history and philosophy, uncovers the dynamic history of prediction in science and engineering over four centuries. Ann Johnson and Johannes Lenhard identify four different cultures, or modes, of prediction in the history of science and engineering: rational, empirical, iterative-numerical, and exploratory-iterative. They show how all four develop together and interact with one another while emphasizing that mathematization is not a single unitary process but one that has taken many forms.The story is not one of the triumph of abstract mathematics or technology but of how different modes of prediction, complementary concepts of mathematization, and technology coevolved, building what the authors call “cultures of prediction.” The first part of the book examines prediction from early modernity up to the computer age. The second part probes computer-related cultures of prediction, which focus on making things and testing their performance, often in computer simulations. This new orientation challenges basic tenets of the philosophy of science, in which scientific theories and models are predominantly seen as explanatory rather than predictive. It also influences the types of research projects that scientists and engineers undertake, as well as which ones receive support from funding agencies. 2024-10-25T13:20:12Z 2024-10-25T13:20:12Z 2024 book ONIX_20241025_9780262379045_144 9780262379045 9780262548236 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/146766 eng Engineering Studies image/jpeg n/a https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/14947.001.0001 The MIT Press The MIT Press 10.7551/mitpress/14947.001.0001 10.7551/mitpress/14947.001.0001 ae0cf962-f685-4933-93d1-916defa5123d 9780262379045 9780262548236 The MIT Press 288 Cambridge open access |
| spellingShingle | Prediction co-evolution mathematization history of engineering history of technology philosophy of engineering thema EDItEUR::T Technology, Engineering, Agriculture, Industrial processes::TB Technology: general issues::TBX History of engineering and technology thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PS Biology, life sciences::PSA Life sciences: general issues::PSAD Bioethics thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JB Society and culture: general::JBF Social and ethical issues::JBFZ Social forecasting, future studies Johnson, Ann Lenhard, Johannes Cultures of Prediction |
| title | Cultures of Prediction |
| title_full | Cultures of Prediction |
| title_fullStr | Cultures of Prediction |
| title_full_unstemmed | Cultures of Prediction |
| title_short | Cultures of Prediction |
| title_sort | cultures of prediction |
| topic | Prediction co-evolution mathematization history of engineering history of technology philosophy of engineering thema EDItEUR::T Technology, Engineering, Agriculture, Industrial processes::TB Technology: general issues::TBX History of engineering and technology thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PS Biology, life sciences::PSA Life sciences: general issues::PSAD Bioethics thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JB Society and culture: general::JBF Social and ethical issues::JBFZ Social forecasting, future studies |
| topic_facet | Prediction co-evolution mathematization history of engineering history of technology philosophy of engineering thema EDItEUR::T Technology, Engineering, Agriculture, Industrial processes::TB Technology: general issues::TBX History of engineering and technology thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PS Biology, life sciences::PSA Life sciences: general issues::PSAD Bioethics thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JB Society and culture: general::JBF Social and ethical issues::JBFZ Social forecasting, future studies |
| url | ONIX_20241025_9780262379045_144 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT johnsonann culturesofprediction AT lenhardjohannes culturesofprediction |