Chapter Troubled Waters: the Taiwan Issue since the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis

Over the last seventy years the Taiwan Strait has been widely seen as a place where the next major conflict between the great powers could start. The last time when Asia found itself on the brink of war over the future of the island nation was the Taiwan Strait Crisis of 1995–1996. In this article,...

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1. Verfasser: Voloshina, Anna
Format: Online
Sprache:Englisch
Veröffentlicht: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego 2025
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Online-Zugang:ONIX_20250307_9788383313108_1897
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author Voloshina, Anna
author_browse Voloshina, Anna
author_facet Voloshina, Anna
author_sort Voloshina, Anna
collection Directory of Open Access Books
description Over the last seventy years the Taiwan Strait has been widely seen as a place where the next major conflict between the great powers could start. The last time when Asia found itself on the brink of war over the future of the island nation was the Taiwan Strait Crisis of 1995–1996. In this article, the author examines the crisis background, events and consequences and suggests that the confrontation marked the emergence of a new status quo in the strait area, the one of a structural deadlock. This paper provides an analysis of the three subsequent periods (2000–2008, 2008–2016 and since 2016 until the present) in the evolution of that status quo. The author argues that in the recent years the situation in the Taiwan Strait has been shifting towards increased turbulence. The study identifies the major factors that are eroding the “pillars” of the status quo and, thus, have a destabilizing effect on the relations between Beijing, Washington and Taipei. As such factors are of a structural nature the author concludes that the room for maneuver for each side of the triangle is becoming increasingly narrow. It enhances the risk of a structural deadlock escalating into an armed conflict.
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spelling doab-20.500.12854ir-1562472025-03-07T15:05:48Z Chapter Troubled Waters: the Taiwan Issue since the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis Voloshina, Anna South China Sea People Republic of China United States Asia Cambodia Humanized birth Taiwan issue cross-strait relations crisis ASEAN diplomatic mission Over the last seventy years the Taiwan Strait has been widely seen as a place where the next major conflict between the great powers could start. The last time when Asia found itself on the brink of war over the future of the island nation was the Taiwan Strait Crisis of 1995–1996. In this article, the author examines the crisis background, events and consequences and suggests that the confrontation marked the emergence of a new status quo in the strait area, the one of a structural deadlock. This paper provides an analysis of the three subsequent periods (2000–2008, 2008–2016 and since 2016 until the present) in the evolution of that status quo. The author argues that in the recent years the situation in the Taiwan Strait has been shifting towards increased turbulence. The study identifies the major factors that are eroding the “pillars” of the status quo and, thus, have a destabilizing effect on the relations between Beijing, Washington and Taipei. As such factors are of a structural nature the author concludes that the room for maneuver for each side of the triangle is becoming increasingly narrow. It enhances the risk of a structural deadlock escalating into an armed conflict. 2025-03-07T15:05:47Z 2025-03-07T15:05:47Z 2023 chapter ONIX_20250307_9788383313108_1897 9788383313108 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/156247 eng image/jpeg Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International https://www.press.uni.lodz.pl/index.php/wul/catalog/book/602 Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego 10.18778/8331-310-8.04 10.18778/8331-310-8.04 83bfe9c9-323d-4283-b087-d859fd9af314 9788383313108 63-85 open access
spellingShingle South China Sea
People Republic of China
United States
Asia
Cambodia
Humanized birth
Taiwan issue
cross-strait relations
crisis
ASEAN
diplomatic mission
Voloshina, Anna
Chapter Troubled Waters: the Taiwan Issue since the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis
title Chapter Troubled Waters: the Taiwan Issue since the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis
title_full Chapter Troubled Waters: the Taiwan Issue since the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis
title_fullStr Chapter Troubled Waters: the Taiwan Issue since the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis
title_full_unstemmed Chapter Troubled Waters: the Taiwan Issue since the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis
title_short Chapter Troubled Waters: the Taiwan Issue since the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis
title_sort chapter troubled waters the taiwan issue since the third taiwan strait crisis
topic South China Sea
People Republic of China
United States
Asia
Cambodia
Humanized birth
Taiwan issue
cross-strait relations
crisis
ASEAN
diplomatic mission
topic_facet South China Sea
People Republic of China
United States
Asia
Cambodia
Humanized birth
Taiwan issue
cross-strait relations
crisis
ASEAN
diplomatic mission
url ONIX_20250307_9788383313108_1897
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