Chapter Modeling the high-impact-low-probability oil spills in the Mediterranean
Despite considerable efforts to improve scientific understanding and risk management, governments and businesses remain insufficiently prepared to confront large oil spills considered to be the so called ‘high-impact low-probability’ disasters. To alleviate this problem, we focus on the historical H...
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| 格式: | Online |
| 語言: | 英语 |
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Firenze University Press
2025
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| 在線閱讀: | ONIX_20250801T173835_9791221505566_271 |
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| author | Liubartseva, Svitlana COPPINI, Giovanni Daniel, Pierre Hoxhaj, Megi |
| author_browse | COPPINI, Giovanni Daniel, Pierre Hoxhaj, Megi Liubartseva, Svitlana |
| author_facet | Liubartseva, Svitlana COPPINI, Giovanni Daniel, Pierre Hoxhaj, Megi |
| author_sort | Liubartseva, Svitlana |
| collection | Directory of Open Access Books |
| description | Despite considerable efforts to improve scientific understanding and risk management, governments and businesses remain insufficiently prepared to confront large oil spills considered to be the so called ‘high-impact low-probability’ disasters. To alleviate this problem, we focus on the historical HAVEN oil spill (off the Port of Genoa, 1991) recognized not only as the largest shipwreck in the European waters, but also as one of the worst oil pollution cases in the Med. We reconstruct this spill with the Lagrangian oil spill model MEDSLIK-II forced by the to-date high resolution meteo-oceanographic datasets. Moreover, we run the HAVEN oil spill scenario stochastically sampling virtual spills randomly in space and time. The results are presented as the pollution hazard indices in probabilistic terms, which is supposed to be a representative indicator of future accidents. The highest indices are found in the Alboran Sea, Algerian and Liguro-Provençal subbasins, and in the center of the Ionian Sea. Conversely, the southern part of the Ionian, the areas east of Sardinia and west of Corsica, the Gulf of Lion, the northern Adriatic, and north-eastern Aegean Sea do not reveal high hazards. |
| format | Online |
| id | doab-20.500.12854ir-163645 |
| institution | Directory of Open Access Books |
| language | eng |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| publishDateRange | 2025 |
| publishDateSort | 2025 |
| publisher | Firenze University Press |
| publisherStr | Firenze University Press |
| record_format | ojs |
| spelling | doab-20.500.12854ir-1636452025-08-02T05:20:22Z Chapter Modeling the high-impact-low-probability oil spills in the Mediterranean Liubartseva, Svitlana COPPINI, Giovanni Daniel, Pierre Hoxhaj, Megi Oil spill modeling Hazard mapping Copernicus Marine Service Despite considerable efforts to improve scientific understanding and risk management, governments and businesses remain insufficiently prepared to confront large oil spills considered to be the so called ‘high-impact low-probability’ disasters. To alleviate this problem, we focus on the historical HAVEN oil spill (off the Port of Genoa, 1991) recognized not only as the largest shipwreck in the European waters, but also as one of the worst oil pollution cases in the Med. We reconstruct this spill with the Lagrangian oil spill model MEDSLIK-II forced by the to-date high resolution meteo-oceanographic datasets. Moreover, we run the HAVEN oil spill scenario stochastically sampling virtual spills randomly in space and time. The results are presented as the pollution hazard indices in probabilistic terms, which is supposed to be a representative indicator of future accidents. The highest indices are found in the Alboran Sea, Algerian and Liguro-Provençal subbasins, and in the center of the Ionian Sea. Conversely, the southern part of the Ionian, the areas east of Sardinia and west of Corsica, the Gulf of Lion, the northern Adriatic, and north-eastern Aegean Sea do not reveal high hazards. 2025-08-02T05:20:21Z 2025-08-02T05:20:21Z 2025-08-01T15:57:25Z 2024 chapter ONIX_20250801T173835_9791221505566_271 2975-0288 https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/104821 9791221505566 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/163645 eng Monitoring of Mediterranean Coastal Areas: Problems and Measurement Techniques open access image/jpeg Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/104821/1/43724.pdf Firenze University Press 10.36253/979-12-215-0556-6.79 10.36253/979-12-215-0556-6.79 2ec4474d-93b1-4cfa-b313-9c6019b51b1a 9791221505566 12 Florence open access |
| spellingShingle | Oil spill modeling Hazard mapping Copernicus Marine Service Liubartseva, Svitlana COPPINI, Giovanni Daniel, Pierre Hoxhaj, Megi Chapter Modeling the high-impact-low-probability oil spills in the Mediterranean |
| title | Chapter Modeling the high-impact-low-probability oil spills in the Mediterranean |
| title_full | Chapter Modeling the high-impact-low-probability oil spills in the Mediterranean |
| title_fullStr | Chapter Modeling the high-impact-low-probability oil spills in the Mediterranean |
| title_full_unstemmed | Chapter Modeling the high-impact-low-probability oil spills in the Mediterranean |
| title_short | Chapter Modeling the high-impact-low-probability oil spills in the Mediterranean |
| title_sort | chapter modeling the high impact low probability oil spills in the mediterranean |
| topic | Oil spill modeling Hazard mapping Copernicus Marine Service |
| topic_facet | Oil spill modeling Hazard mapping Copernicus Marine Service |
| url | ONIX_20250801T173835_9791221505566_271 |
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