Chapter 3 Is It Possible to Prevent Unforeseen Events?

"An unforeseen event may be defined as something that happens suddenly and unexpectedly. Such events are seldom the result of an organisation’s operational planning, but they can be side-effects of such planning. An unforeseen event may have either positive or negative consequences. This chapter...

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Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awdur: Rundmo, Torbjørn
Fformat: Online
Iaith:Saesneg
Cyhoeddwyd: Cappelen Damm Akademisk/NOASP (Nordic Open Access Scholarly Publishing) 2021
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Mynediad Ar-lein:1001644
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author Rundmo, Torbjørn
author_browse Rundmo, Torbjørn
author_facet Rundmo, Torbjørn
author_sort Rundmo, Torbjørn
collection Directory of Open Access Books
description "An unforeseen event may be defined as something that happens suddenly and unexpectedly. Such events are seldom the result of an organisation’s operational planning, but they can be side-effects of such planning. An unforeseen event may have either positive or negative consequences. This chapter aims to discuss if it is possible to prevent unforeseen events. The major focus is on analysis and prevention of unforeseen events with negative consequences, such as accidents, catastrophes and acts of terror. Such events often take place in complex systems, and failures of appropriate organisational interaction and communication among participants with complementary competence in such systems may contribute to unforeseen events. Risk-analysis methods and tools based on energy-barrier models, causal sequence and process models, as well as information-processing models are presented and their applicability to the prevention of unforeseen events is discussed. This also includes the Bow-tie approach, as well as other approaches which take into consideration organisational factors and social interaction (samhandling). The conclusion is that unforeseen events can be prevented. However, in the aftermath of the implementation of safety and security measures, it is not possible to know which events they prevented, or to obtain knowledge about their efficiency. An additional strategy for prevention of unforeseen events with negative consequences is proposed."
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language eng
publishDate 2021
publishDateRange 2021
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publisher Cappelen Damm Akademisk/NOASP (Nordic Open Access Scholarly Publishing)
publisherStr Cappelen Damm Akademisk/NOASP (Nordic Open Access Scholarly Publishing)
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spelling doab-20.500.12854ir-325032025-07-30T10:21:20Z Chapter 3 Is It Possible to Prevent Unforeseen Events? Rundmo, Torbjørn Samhandling interaction emergency-preparedness training risk analysis organisational learning unforeseen thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy "An unforeseen event may be defined as something that happens suddenly and unexpectedly. Such events are seldom the result of an organisation’s operational planning, but they can be side-effects of such planning. An unforeseen event may have either positive or negative consequences. This chapter aims to discuss if it is possible to prevent unforeseen events. The major focus is on analysis and prevention of unforeseen events with negative consequences, such as accidents, catastrophes and acts of terror. Such events often take place in complex systems, and failures of appropriate organisational interaction and communication among participants with complementary competence in such systems may contribute to unforeseen events. Risk-analysis methods and tools based on energy-barrier models, causal sequence and process models, as well as information-processing models are presented and their applicability to the prevention of unforeseen events is discussed. This also includes the Bow-tie approach, as well as other approaches which take into consideration organisational factors and social interaction (samhandling). The conclusion is that unforeseen events can be prevented. However, in the aftermath of the implementation of safety and security measures, it is not possible to know which events they prevented, or to obtain knowledge about their efficiency. An additional strategy for prevention of unforeseen events with negative consequences is proposed." 2021-02-10T12:58:18Z 2018-10-08 11:28:17 2020-04-01T12:20:31Z 2018 chapter 1001644 OCN: 1076723288 http://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/28318 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/32503 eng open access image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg n/a n/a n/a n/a https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/28318/1/Interaction_ch3.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/28318/1/Interaction_ch3.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/28318/1/Interaction_ch3.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/28318/1/Interaction_ch3.pdf Cappelen Damm Akademisk/NOASP (Nordic Open Access Scholarly Publishing) 10.23865/noasp.36.ch3 10.23865/noasp.36.ch3 9266f8a8-a49e-4697-9bd1-69645f9037c2 Interaction: 'Samhandling' Under Risk 20 Oslo open access
spellingShingle Samhandling
interaction
emergency-preparedness
training
risk analysis
organisational learning
unforeseen
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy
Rundmo, Torbjørn
Chapter 3 Is It Possible to Prevent Unforeseen Events?
title Chapter 3 Is It Possible to Prevent Unforeseen Events?
title_full Chapter 3 Is It Possible to Prevent Unforeseen Events?
title_fullStr Chapter 3 Is It Possible to Prevent Unforeseen Events?
title_full_unstemmed Chapter 3 Is It Possible to Prevent Unforeseen Events?
title_short Chapter 3 Is It Possible to Prevent Unforeseen Events?
title_sort chapter 3 is it possible to prevent unforeseen events
topic Samhandling
interaction
emergency-preparedness
training
risk analysis
organisational learning
unforeseen
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy
topic_facet Samhandling
interaction
emergency-preparedness
training
risk analysis
organisational learning
unforeseen
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JW Warfare and defence::JWK Military and defence strategy
url 1001644
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