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Developments in Demographic Forecasting

This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric...

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Uloženo v:
Médium: Online
Jazyk:angličtina
Vydáno: Springer Nature 2021
Témata:
Demography
Statistics for Social Sciences, Humanities, Law
Population and Demography
Statistics in Social Sciences, Humanities, Law, Education, Behavorial Sciences, Public Policy
Population forecasting
Fertility
Mortality
Migration
Forecasting evaluation
Social Media data
Population statistics
Population modelling
Bayesian population models
Open access
Population & demography
Social research & statistics
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBD Population and demography
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research and statistics
On-line přístup:ONIX_20201013_9783030424725_37
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Shrnutí:This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.

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