Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems

The study examines the predictability during the extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE), a multimodel ensemble prediction system (EPS). It is shown that TIGGE exhibits more possible development scenarios than a single EPS. By an...

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主要作者: Keller, Julia Henriette
格式: Online
語言:英语
出版: KIT Scientific Publishing 2021
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author Keller, Julia Henriette
author_browse Keller, Julia Henriette
author_facet Keller, Julia Henriette
author_sort Keller, Julia Henriette
collection Directory of Open Access Books
description The study examines the predictability during the extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE), a multimodel ensemble prediction system (EPS). It is shown that TIGGE exhibits more possible development scenarios than a single EPS. By analysing the eddy kinetic energy budget of forecast scenarios for two ET cases, extracted from an EPS, the impact of the transitioning tropical cyclones on the midlatitude flow is studied in detail.
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institution Directory of Open Access Books
language eng
publishDate 2021
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spelling doab-20.500.12854ir-449982024-04-04T19:18:53Z Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems Keller, Julia Henriette QC1-999 extratropical transition multimodel ensemble eddy kinetic energy analysis tropical cyclones TIGGE thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics The study examines the predictability during the extratropical transition (ET) of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE), a multimodel ensemble prediction system (EPS). It is shown that TIGGE exhibits more possible development scenarios than a single EPS. By analysing the eddy kinetic energy budget of forecast scenarios for two ET cases, extracted from an EPS, the impact of the transitioning tropical cyclones on the midlatitude flow is studied in detail. 2021-02-11T11:21:31Z 2021-02-11T11:21:31Z 2019-07-30 20:01:57 2013 book 34381 01795619 9783866449848 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/44998 eng Wissenschaftliche Berichte des Instituts für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung des Karlsruher Instituts für Technologie image/jpeg Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International https://www.ksp.kit.edu/9783866449848 KIT Scientific Publishing 10.5445/KSP/1000032813 10.5445/KSP/1000032813 68fffc18-8f7b-44fa-ac7e-0b7d7d979bd2 9783866449848 X, 246 p. open access
spellingShingle QC1-999
extratropical transition multimodel ensemble eddy kinetic energy analysis tropical cyclones TIGGE
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics
Keller, Julia Henriette
Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems
title Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems
title_full Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems
title_fullStr Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems
title_full_unstemmed Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems
title_short Diagnosing the Downstream Impact of Extratropical Transition Using Multimodel Operational Ensemble Prediction Systems
title_sort diagnosing the downstream impact of extratropical transition using multimodel operational ensemble prediction systems
topic QC1-999
extratropical transition multimodel ensemble eddy kinetic energy analysis tropical cyclones TIGGE
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics
topic_facet QC1-999
extratropical transition multimodel ensemble eddy kinetic energy analysis tropical cyclones TIGGE
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics
url 34381
work_keys_str_mv AT kellerjuliahenriette diagnosingthedownstreamimpactofextratropicaltransitionusingmultimodeloperationalensemblepredictionsystems