Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems

Modern power systems are affected by many sources of uncertainty, driven by the spread of renewable generation, by the development of liberalized energy market systems and by the intrinsic random behavior of the final energy customers. Forecasting is, therefore, a crucial task in planning and managi...

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Egile Nagusiak: Bracale, Antonio, Falco, Pasquale De
Formatua: Online
Hizkuntza:ingelesa
Argitaratua: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute 2021
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Sarrera elektronikoa:44795
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author Bracale, Antonio
Falco, Pasquale De
author_browse Bracale, Antonio
Falco, Pasquale De
author_facet Bracale, Antonio
Falco, Pasquale De
author_sort Bracale, Antonio
collection Directory of Open Access Books
description Modern power systems are affected by many sources of uncertainty, driven by the spread of renewable generation, by the development of liberalized energy market systems and by the intrinsic random behavior of the final energy customers. Forecasting is, therefore, a crucial task in planning and managing modern power systems at any level: from transmission to distribution networks, and in also the new context of smart grids. Recent trends suggest the suitability of ensemble approaches in order to increase the versatility and robustness of forecasting systems. Stacking, boosting, and bagging techniques have recently started to attract the interest of power system practitioners. This book addresses the development of new, advanced, ensemble forecasting methods applied to power systems, collecting recent contributions to the development of accurate forecasts of energy-related variables by some of the most qualified experts in energy forecasting. Typical areas of research (renewable energy forecasting, load forecasting, energy price forecasting) are investigated, with relevant applications to the use of forecasts in energy management systems.
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id doab-20.500.12854ir-46473
institution Directory of Open Access Books
language eng
publishDate 2021
publishDateRange 2021
publishDateSort 2021
publisher MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
publisherStr MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
record_format ojs
spelling doab-20.500.12854ir-464732024-04-11T15:11:27Z Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems Bracale, Antonio Falco, Pasquale De TA1-2040 T1-995 forecast combination solar energy electricity price forecasting calibration window heuristic algorithm deep learning electric load forecasting smart grids hierarchical load forecasting predictive distribution solar PV solar farm microgrid energy management lower and upper bound estimation solar power prediction interval prediction kernel density estimation average probability forecast probabilistic forecasting forecasting distributed energy resources photovoltaic power conditional predictive ability clearness index Fourier series combining forecasts weather station combination distributed generation clear sky index extreme learning machine ensemble methods pinball score autoregression thema EDItEUR::T Technology, Engineering, Agriculture, Industrial processes::TB Technology: general issues::TBX History of engineering and technology Modern power systems are affected by many sources of uncertainty, driven by the spread of renewable generation, by the development of liberalized energy market systems and by the intrinsic random behavior of the final energy customers. Forecasting is, therefore, a crucial task in planning and managing modern power systems at any level: from transmission to distribution networks, and in also the new context of smart grids. Recent trends suggest the suitability of ensemble approaches in order to increase the versatility and robustness of forecasting systems. Stacking, boosting, and bagging techniques have recently started to attract the interest of power system practitioners. This book addresses the development of new, advanced, ensemble forecasting methods applied to power systems, collecting recent contributions to the development of accurate forecasts of energy-related variables by some of the most qualified experts in energy forecasting. Typical areas of research (renewable energy forecasting, load forecasting, energy price forecasting) are investigated, with relevant applications to the use of forecasts in energy management systems. 2021-02-11T12:37:31Z 2021-02-11T12:37:31Z 2020-04-07 23:07:09 2020 book 44795 9783039283132 9783039283125 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/46473 eng application/octet-stream Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International https://mdpi.com/books/pdfview/book/2072 MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute 10.3390/books978-3-03928-313-2 10.3390/books978-3-03928-313-2 46cabcaa-dd94-4bfe-87b4-55023c1b36d0 9783039283132 9783039283125 134 open access
spellingShingle TA1-2040
T1-995
forecast combination
solar energy
electricity price forecasting
calibration window
heuristic algorithm
deep learning
electric load forecasting
smart grids
hierarchical load forecasting
predictive distribution
solar PV
solar farm
microgrid
energy management
lower and upper bound estimation
solar power prediction
interval prediction
kernel density estimation
average probability forecast
probabilistic forecasting
forecasting
distributed energy resources
photovoltaic power
conditional predictive ability
clearness index
Fourier series
combining forecasts
weather station combination
distributed generation
clear sky index
extreme learning machine
ensemble methods
pinball score
autoregression
thema EDItEUR::T Technology, Engineering, Agriculture, Industrial processes::TB Technology: general issues::TBX History of engineering and technology
Bracale, Antonio
Falco, Pasquale De
Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems
title Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems
title_full Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems
title_fullStr Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems
title_full_unstemmed Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems
title_short Ensemble Forecasting Applied to Power Systems
title_sort ensemble forecasting applied to power systems
topic TA1-2040
T1-995
forecast combination
solar energy
electricity price forecasting
calibration window
heuristic algorithm
deep learning
electric load forecasting
smart grids
hierarchical load forecasting
predictive distribution
solar PV
solar farm
microgrid
energy management
lower and upper bound estimation
solar power prediction
interval prediction
kernel density estimation
average probability forecast
probabilistic forecasting
forecasting
distributed energy resources
photovoltaic power
conditional predictive ability
clearness index
Fourier series
combining forecasts
weather station combination
distributed generation
clear sky index
extreme learning machine
ensemble methods
pinball score
autoregression
thema EDItEUR::T Technology, Engineering, Agriculture, Industrial processes::TB Technology: general issues::TBX History of engineering and technology
topic_facet TA1-2040
T1-995
forecast combination
solar energy
electricity price forecasting
calibration window
heuristic algorithm
deep learning
electric load forecasting
smart grids
hierarchical load forecasting
predictive distribution
solar PV
solar farm
microgrid
energy management
lower and upper bound estimation
solar power prediction
interval prediction
kernel density estimation
average probability forecast
probabilistic forecasting
forecasting
distributed energy resources
photovoltaic power
conditional predictive ability
clearness index
Fourier series
combining forecasts
weather station combination
distributed generation
clear sky index
extreme learning machine
ensemble methods
pinball score
autoregression
thema EDItEUR::T Technology, Engineering, Agriculture, Industrial processes::TB Technology: general issues::TBX History of engineering and technology
url 44795
work_keys_str_mv AT bracaleantonio ensembleforecastingappliedtopowersystems
AT falcopasqualede ensembleforecastingappliedtopowersystems