Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life
Predicting the time needed to complete a project, task or daily activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate how long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and when this happens, what we should do to avoid it and how to give more realistic time predictions. It describe...
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| Những tác giả chính: | , |
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| Định dạng: | Online |
| Ngôn ngữ: | Tiếng Anh |
| Được phát hành: |
Springer Nature
2021
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| Những chủ đề: | |
| Truy cập trực tuyến: | 27361 |
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| _version_ | 1869522645442101248 |
|---|---|
| author | Torleif Halkjelsvik Magne Jørgensen |
| author_browse | Magne Jørgensen Torleif Halkjelsvik |
| author_facet | Torleif Halkjelsvik Magne Jørgensen |
| author_sort | Torleif Halkjelsvik |
| collection | Directory of Open Access Books |
| description | Predicting the time needed to complete a project, task or daily activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate how long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and when this happens, what we should do to avoid it and how to give more realistic time predictions. It describes methods for predicting time usage in situations with high uncertainty, explains why two plus two is usually more than four in time prediction contexts, reports on research on time prediction biases, and summarizes the evidence in support of different time prediction methods and principles. Based on a comprehensive review of the research, it is the first book summarizing what we know about judgment-based time predictions. Large parts of the book are directed toward people wishing to achieve better time predictions in their professional life, such as project managers, graphic designers, architects, engineers, film producers, consultants, software developers, or anyone else in need of realistic time usage predictions. It is also of benefit to those with a general interest in judgment and decision-making or those who want to improve their ability to predict and plan ahead in daily life. |
| format | Online |
| id | doab-20.500.12854ir-48230 |
| institution | Directory of Open Access Books |
| language | eng |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publishDateRange | 2021 |
| publishDateSort | 2021 |
| publisher | Springer Nature |
| publisherStr | Springer Nature |
| record_format | ojs |
| spelling | doab-20.500.12854ir-482302023-12-20T18:40:40Z Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life Torleif Halkjelsvik Magne Jørgensen QA273-280 human judgement project management time predictions uncertainty overoptimism bic Book Industry Communication::P Mathematics & science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability & statistics Predicting the time needed to complete a project, task or daily activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate how long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and when this happens, what we should do to avoid it and how to give more realistic time predictions. It describes methods for predicting time usage in situations with high uncertainty, explains why two plus two is usually more than four in time prediction contexts, reports on research on time prediction biases, and summarizes the evidence in support of different time prediction methods and principles. Based on a comprehensive review of the research, it is the first book summarizing what we know about judgment-based time predictions. Large parts of the book are directed toward people wishing to achieve better time predictions in their professional life, such as project managers, graphic designers, architects, engineers, film producers, consultants, software developers, or anyone else in need of realistic time usage predictions. It is also of benefit to those with a general interest in judgment and decision-making or those who want to improve their ability to predict and plan ahead in daily life. 2021-02-11T14:14:13Z 2021-02-11T14:14:13Z 2018-07-20 18:40:07 2018 book 27361 0 9783319749532 9783319749525 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/48230 eng Simula SpringerBriefs on Computing image/jpeg Attribution 4.0 International https://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783319749525?wt_mc=ThirdParty.SpringerLink.3.EPR653.About_eBook#otherversion=9783319749532 https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-319-74953-2 Springer Nature https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74953-2 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74953-2 9fa3421d-f917-4153-b9ab-fc337c396b5a 7d87abb9-13b2-47ab-8276-47e52369a53d 9783319749532 9783319749525 110 Simula Research Laboratory open access |
| spellingShingle | QA273-280 human judgement project management time predictions uncertainty overoptimism bic Book Industry Communication::P Mathematics & science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability & statistics Torleif Halkjelsvik Magne Jørgensen Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life |
| title | Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life |
| title_full | Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life |
| title_fullStr | Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life |
| title_full_unstemmed | Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life |
| title_short | Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life |
| title_sort | time predictions understanding and avoiding unrealism in project planning and everyday life |
| topic | QA273-280 human judgement project management time predictions uncertainty overoptimism bic Book Industry Communication::P Mathematics & science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability & statistics |
| topic_facet | QA273-280 human judgement project management time predictions uncertainty overoptimism bic Book Industry Communication::P Mathematics & science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability & statistics |
| url | 27361 |
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