Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R

Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R provides a self-contained introduction to computational Bayesian statistics using R. With its primary focus on Bayes factors supported by data sets, this book features an operational perspective, practical relevance, and applicability—keeping theor...

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Hoofdauteurs: Bozza, Silvia, Taroni, Franco, Biedermann, Alex
Formaat: Online
Taal:Engels
Gepubliceerd in: Springer Nature 2022
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Online toegang:ONIX_20221118_9783031098390_37
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author Bozza, Silvia
Taroni, Franco
Biedermann, Alex
author_browse Biedermann, Alex
Bozza, Silvia
Taroni, Franco
author_facet Bozza, Silvia
Taroni, Franco
Biedermann, Alex
author_sort Bozza, Silvia
collection Directory of Open Access Books
description Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R provides a self-contained introduction to computational Bayesian statistics using R. With its primary focus on Bayes factors supported by data sets, this book features an operational perspective, practical relevance, and applicability—keeping theoretical and philosophical justifications limited. It offers a balanced approach to three naturally interrelated topics: Probabilistic Inference - Relies on the core concept of Bayesian inferential statistics, to help practicing forensic scientists in the logical and balanced evaluation of the weight of evidence. Decision Making - Features how Bayes factors are interpreted in practical applications to help address questions of decision analysis involving the use of forensic science in the law. Operational Relevance - Combines inference and decision, backed up with practical examples and complete sample code in R, including sensitivity analyses and discussion on how to interpret results in context. Over the past decades, probabilistic methods have established a firm position as a reference approach for the management of uncertainty in virtually all areas of science, including forensic science, with Bayes' theorem providing the fundamental logical tenet for assessing how new information—scientific evidence—ought to be weighed. Central to this approach is the Bayes factor, which clarifies the evidential meaning of new information, by providing a measure of the change in the odds in favor of a proposition of interest, when going from the prior to the posterior distribution. Bayes factors should guide the scientist's thinking about the value of scientific evidence and form the basis of logical and balanced reporting practices, thus representing essential foundations for rational decision making under uncertainty. This book would be relevant to students, practitioners, and applied statisticians interested in inference and decision analyses in the critical field of forensic science. It could be used to support practical courses on Bayesian statistics and decision theory at both undergraduate and graduate levels, and will be of equal interest to forensic scientists and practitioners of Bayesian statistics for driving their evaluations and the use of R for their purposes. This book is Open Access.
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spelling doab-20.500.12854ir-939472025-08-13T13:41:34Z Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R Bozza, Silvia Taroni, Franco Biedermann, Alex Bayes factor scientific evidence decision making forensic science uncertainty management probability theory forensic decision analysis Bayesian modeling R Bayesian statistics probabilistic inference thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UF Business applications::UFM Mathematical and statistical software thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JK Social services and welfare, criminology::JKV Crime and criminology::JKVF Criminal investigation and detection::JKVF1 Forensic science thema EDItEUR::M Medicine and Nursing::MK Medical specialties, branches of medicine::MKT Forensic medicine thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JM Psychology::JMK Criminal or forensic psychology thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research and statistics thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UF Business applications::UFM Mathematical and statistical software thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JK Social services and welfare, criminology::JKV Crime and criminology::JKVF Criminal investigation and detection::JKVF1 Forensic science thema EDItEUR::M Medicine and Nursing::MK Medical specialties, branches of medicine::MKT Forensic medicine thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JM Psychology::JMK Criminal or forensic psychology thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research and statistics Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R provides a self-contained introduction to computational Bayesian statistics using R. With its primary focus on Bayes factors supported by data sets, this book features an operational perspective, practical relevance, and applicability—keeping theoretical and philosophical justifications limited. It offers a balanced approach to three naturally interrelated topics: Probabilistic Inference - Relies on the core concept of Bayesian inferential statistics, to help practicing forensic scientists in the logical and balanced evaluation of the weight of evidence. Decision Making - Features how Bayes factors are interpreted in practical applications to help address questions of decision analysis involving the use of forensic science in the law. Operational Relevance - Combines inference and decision, backed up with practical examples and complete sample code in R, including sensitivity analyses and discussion on how to interpret results in context. Over the past decades, probabilistic methods have established a firm position as a reference approach for the management of uncertainty in virtually all areas of science, including forensic science, with Bayes' theorem providing the fundamental logical tenet for assessing how new information—scientific evidence—ought to be weighed. Central to this approach is the Bayes factor, which clarifies the evidential meaning of new information, by providing a measure of the change in the odds in favor of a proposition of interest, when going from the prior to the posterior distribution. Bayes factors should guide the scientist's thinking about the value of scientific evidence and form the basis of logical and balanced reporting practices, thus representing essential foundations for rational decision making under uncertainty. This book would be relevant to students, practitioners, and applied statisticians interested in inference and decision analyses in the critical field of forensic science. It could be used to support practical courses on Bayesian statistics and decision theory at both undergraduate and graduate levels, and will be of equal interest to forensic scientists and practitioners of Bayesian statistics for driving their evaluations and the use of R for their purposes. This book is Open Access. 2022-11-19T04:02:38Z 2022-11-19T04:02:38Z 2022-11-18T14:20:20Z 2022 book ONIX_20221118_9783031098390_37 OCN: 1349339889 https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/59364 9783031098390 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/93947 eng Springer Texts in Statistics open access image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg n/a n/a n/a https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/59364/1/978-3-031-09839-0.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/59364/1/978-3-031-09839-0.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/59364/1/978-3-031-09839-0.pdf Springer Nature Springer International Publishing 10.1007/978-3-031-09839-0 10.1007/978-3-031-09839-0 9fa3421d-f917-4153-b9ab-fc337c396b5a Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung 07f61e34-5b96-49f0-9860-c87dd8228f26 9783031098390 Swiss National Science Foundation (SNF) Springer International Publishing 187 Cham [...] open access
spellingShingle Bayes factor
scientific evidence
decision making
forensic science
uncertainty management
probability theory
forensic
decision analysis
Bayesian modeling
R
Bayesian statistics
probabilistic inference
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics
thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UF Business applications::UFM Mathematical and statistical software
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JK Social services and welfare, criminology::JKV Crime and criminology::JKVF Criminal investigation and detection::JKVF1 Forensic science
thema EDItEUR::M Medicine and Nursing::MK Medical specialties, branches of medicine::MKT Forensic medicine
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JM Psychology::JMK Criminal or forensic psychology
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research and statistics
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics
thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UF Business applications::UFM Mathematical and statistical software
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JK Social services and welfare, criminology::JKV Crime and criminology::JKVF Criminal investigation and detection::JKVF1 Forensic science
thema EDItEUR::M Medicine and Nursing::MK Medical specialties, branches of medicine::MKT Forensic medicine
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JM Psychology::JMK Criminal or forensic psychology
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research and statistics
Bozza, Silvia
Taroni, Franco
Biedermann, Alex
Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R
title Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R
title_full Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R
title_fullStr Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R
title_full_unstemmed Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R
title_short Bayes Factors for Forensic Decision Analyses with R
title_sort bayes factors for forensic decision analyses with r
topic Bayes factor
scientific evidence
decision making
forensic science
uncertainty management
probability theory
forensic
decision analysis
Bayesian modeling
R
Bayesian statistics
probabilistic inference
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics
thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UF Business applications::UFM Mathematical and statistical software
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JK Social services and welfare, criminology::JKV Crime and criminology::JKVF Criminal investigation and detection::JKVF1 Forensic science
thema EDItEUR::M Medicine and Nursing::MK Medical specialties, branches of medicine::MKT Forensic medicine
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JM Psychology::JMK Criminal or forensic psychology
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research and statistics
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics
thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UF Business applications::UFM Mathematical and statistical software
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JK Social services and welfare, criminology::JKV Crime and criminology::JKVF Criminal investigation and detection::JKVF1 Forensic science
thema EDItEUR::M Medicine and Nursing::MK Medical specialties, branches of medicine::MKT Forensic medicine
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JM Psychology::JMK Criminal or forensic psychology
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research and statistics
topic_facet Bayes factor
scientific evidence
decision making
forensic science
uncertainty management
probability theory
forensic
decision analysis
Bayesian modeling
R
Bayesian statistics
probabilistic inference
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics
thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UF Business applications::UFM Mathematical and statistical software
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JK Social services and welfare, criminology::JKV Crime and criminology::JKVF Criminal investigation and detection::JKVF1 Forensic science
thema EDItEUR::M Medicine and Nursing::MK Medical specialties, branches of medicine::MKT Forensic medicine
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JM Psychology::JMK Criminal or forensic psychology
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research and statistics
thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PB Mathematics::PBT Probability and statistics
thema EDItEUR::U Computing and Information Technology::UF Business applications::UFM Mathematical and statistical software
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JK Social services and welfare, criminology::JKV Crime and criminology::JKVF Criminal investigation and detection::JKVF1 Forensic science
thema EDItEUR::M Medicine and Nursing::MK Medical specialties, branches of medicine::MKT Forensic medicine
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JM Psychology::JMK Criminal or forensic psychology
thema EDItEUR::J Society and Social Sciences::JH Sociology and anthropology::JHB Sociology::JHBC Social research and statistics
url ONIX_20221118_9783031098390_37
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AT taronifranco bayesfactorsforforensicdecisionanalyseswithr
AT biedermannalex bayesfactorsforforensicdecisionanalyseswithr