EIB Working Paper 2022/12 - Determinants of the exchange rate, its volatility and currency crash risk in Africa’s low and lower middle-income countries
"The last three decades have witnessed substantial changes in the foreign exchange markets in Africa, with moves towards liberalisation and flexible exchange rate regimes. This has increased the influence of financial market conditions and heightened the risk of exchange rate volatility and large an...
Guardado en:
| Autores principales: | , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Online |
| Lenguaje: | inglés |
| Publicado: |
European Investment Bank
2022
|
| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | OCN: 1354535294 |
| Etiquetas: |
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
|
| _version_ | 1869530347818975232 |
|---|---|
| author | Okot, Anjelo European Investment Bank |
| author_browse | European Investment Bank Okot, Anjelo |
| author_facet | Okot, Anjelo European Investment Bank |
| author_sort | Okot, Anjelo |
| collection | Directory of Open Access Books |
| description | "The last three decades have witnessed substantial changes in the foreign exchange markets in Africa, with moves towards liberalisation and flexible exchange rate regimes. This has increased the influence of financial market conditions and heightened the risk of exchange rate volatility and large and sudden exchange rate movements. This paper investigates the determinants of nominal exchange rates, their volatility, and crash risk in African lower and lower-middle income countries. It combines macro-panel estimations for 15 such countries with insights from interviews with market participants. It shows the importance of these countries' distinctive export structure, concentrated in a few agricultural and mineral-based commodities, as well as recent financial integration, for exchange rate determination. It finds that terms of trade, export concentration, and export prices have a significant impact on the exchange rate level and volatility. By contrast, financial factors including the interest rate differential, international market conditions, and short-term financial flows, influence the likelihood of sudden and large exchange rate movements." |
| format | Online |
| id | doab-20.500.12854ir-93976 |
| institution | Directory of Open Access Books |
| language | eng |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publishDateRange | 2022 |
| publishDateSort | 2022 |
| publisher | European Investment Bank |
| publisherStr | European Investment Bank |
| record_format | ojs |
| spelling | doab-20.500.12854ir-939762025-07-31T08:56:03Z EIB Working Paper 2022/12 - Determinants of the exchange rate, its volatility and currency crash risk in Africa’s low and lower middle-income countries Okot, Anjelo European Investment Bank Business & Economics Finance Financial Engineering thema EDItEUR::K Economics, Finance, Business and Management::KF Finance and accounting::KFF Finance and the finance industry "The last three decades have witnessed substantial changes in the foreign exchange markets in Africa, with moves towards liberalisation and flexible exchange rate regimes. This has increased the influence of financial market conditions and heightened the risk of exchange rate volatility and large and sudden exchange rate movements. This paper investigates the determinants of nominal exchange rates, their volatility, and crash risk in African lower and lower-middle income countries. It combines macro-panel estimations for 15 such countries with insights from interviews with market participants. It shows the importance of these countries' distinctive export structure, concentrated in a few agricultural and mineral-based commodities, as well as recent financial integration, for exchange rate determination. It finds that terms of trade, export concentration, and export prices have a significant impact on the exchange rate level and volatility. By contrast, financial factors including the interest rate differential, international market conditions, and short-term financial flows, influence the likelihood of sudden and large exchange rate movements." 2022-11-19T04:03:59Z 2022-11-19T04:03:59Z 2022-11-18T05:31:12Z 2022 book OCN: 1354535294 https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/59286 9789286153716 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/93976 eng open access image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/59286/1/1818949911.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/59286/1/1818949911.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/59286/1/1818949911.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/59286/1/1818949911.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/59286/1/1818949911.pdf European Investment Bank European Investment Bank 10.2867/79307 10.2867/79307 feca012f-a3d8-4aac-95aa-b6cf4bdbed7c Knowledge Unlatched 9789286153716 Knowledge Unlatched (KU) KU Open Services European Investment Bank open access |
| spellingShingle | Business & Economics Finance Financial Engineering thema EDItEUR::K Economics, Finance, Business and Management::KF Finance and accounting::KFF Finance and the finance industry Okot, Anjelo European Investment Bank EIB Working Paper 2022/12 - Determinants of the exchange rate, its volatility and currency crash risk in Africa’s low and lower middle-income countries |
| title | EIB Working Paper 2022/12 - Determinants of the exchange rate, its volatility and currency crash risk in Africa’s low and lower middle-income countries |
| title_full | EIB Working Paper 2022/12 - Determinants of the exchange rate, its volatility and currency crash risk in Africa’s low and lower middle-income countries |
| title_fullStr | EIB Working Paper 2022/12 - Determinants of the exchange rate, its volatility and currency crash risk in Africa’s low and lower middle-income countries |
| title_full_unstemmed | EIB Working Paper 2022/12 - Determinants of the exchange rate, its volatility and currency crash risk in Africa’s low and lower middle-income countries |
| title_short | EIB Working Paper 2022/12 - Determinants of the exchange rate, its volatility and currency crash risk in Africa’s low and lower middle-income countries |
| title_sort | eib working paper 2022 12 determinants of the exchange rate its volatility and currency crash risk in africa s low and lower middle income countries |
| topic | Business & Economics Finance Financial Engineering thema EDItEUR::K Economics, Finance, Business and Management::KF Finance and accounting::KFF Finance and the finance industry |
| topic_facet | Business & Economics Finance Financial Engineering thema EDItEUR::K Economics, Finance, Business and Management::KF Finance and accounting::KFF Finance and the finance industry |
| url | OCN: 1354535294 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT okotanjelo eibworkingpaper202212determinantsoftheexchangerateitsvolatilityandcurrencycrashriskinafricaslowandlowermiddleincomecountries AT europeaninvestmentbank eibworkingpaper202212determinantsoftheexchangerateitsvolatilityandcurrencycrashriskinafricaslowandlowermiddleincomecountries |