Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error
Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of...
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| Formato: | Online |
| Idioma: | inglês |
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KIT Scientific Publishing
2023
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| Acesso em linha: | https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/62289 |
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| _version_ | 1869515502787756032 |
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| author | Pickl, Moritz |
| author_browse | Pickl, Moritz |
| author_facet | Pickl, Moritz |
| author_sort | Pickl, Moritz |
| collection | Directory of Open Access Books |
| description | Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth. |
| format | Online |
| id | doab-20.500.12854ir-99068 |
| institution | Directory of Open Access Books |
| language | eng |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publishDateRange | 2023 |
| publishDateSort | 2023 |
| publisher | KIT Scientific Publishing |
| publisherStr | KIT Scientific Publishing |
| record_format | ojs |
| spelling | doab-20.500.12854ir-990682025-05-27T05:03:03Z Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error Pickl, Moritz Numerische Wettervorhersage Vorhersageunsicherheit Warmluftförderbänder Numerical weather prediction Forecast uncertainty Warm conveyor belts thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth. 2023-04-18T09:34:03Z 2023-04-18T09:34:03Z 2023-04-06T07:53:48Z 2023 book https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/62289 9783731512363 https://directory.doabooks.org/handle/20.500.12854/99068 eng Wissenschaftliche Berichte des Instituts für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung des Karlsruher Instituts für Technologie open access image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg image/jpeg Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/62289/1/9783731512363.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/62289/1/9783731512363.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/62289/1/9783731512363.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/62289/1/9783731512363.pdf https://library.oapen.org/bitstream/20.500.12657/62289/1/9783731512363.pdf KIT Scientific Publishing 10.5445/KSP/1000150862 10.5445/KSP/1000150862 68fffc18-8f7b-44fa-ac7e-0b7d7d979bd2 9783731512363 AG Universitätsverlage 250 Karlsruhe, Germany open access |
| spellingShingle | Numerische Wettervorhersage Vorhersageunsicherheit Warmluftförderbänder Numerical weather prediction Forecast uncertainty Warm conveyor belts thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics Pickl, Moritz Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error |
| title | Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error |
| title_full | Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error |
| title_fullStr | Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error |
| title_full_unstemmed | Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error |
| title_short | Perspectives on warm conveyor belts - sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error |
| title_sort | perspectives on warm conveyor belts sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error |
| topic | Numerische Wettervorhersage Vorhersageunsicherheit Warmluftförderbänder Numerical weather prediction Forecast uncertainty Warm conveyor belts thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics |
| topic_facet | Numerische Wettervorhersage Vorhersageunsicherheit Warmluftförderbänder Numerical weather prediction Forecast uncertainty Warm conveyor belts thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics |
| url | https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/62289 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT picklmoritz perspectivesonwarmconveyorbeltssensitivitiestoensembleconfigurationandtheroleforforecasterror |